EXPECTED DA FEOM JAN 2013 IS 8 %
Central Government Employees, Pensioners and family Pensioners may get Dearness Allowance of 80% with effect from 1st January 2013
The price index which is called as AICPI – IW (All India Consumer price Index for industrial workers with the base as 2001=100) for the month of September 2012 has been issued by Government.
This is the table All India consumer price index AICPI-IW for the period from January 2012 to September 2012
Month | AICPI-IW |
Jan 2012 | 198 |
Feb 2012 | 199 |
Mar 2012 | 201 |
Apr 2012 | 205 |
May 2012 | 206 |
Jun 2012 | 208 |
Jul 2012 | 212 |
Aug 2012 | 214 |
Sep 2012 | 215 |
Oct 2012 | Will be released in the last week of November 2012 |
Nov 2012 | Will be released in the last week of December 2012 |
Dec 2012 | Will be released in the last week of January 2012 |
The above indices from Jan 2012 to Sept 2012, require special mention here as Calculation of expected Dearness Allowance for central government employees, Central Government Pensioners and central government family pensioners with effect from 1st January 2013 need these indices.
The expected Dearness Allowance with effect from January 2013
To calculate Dearness Allowance with effect from January 2013 we require AICPI (IW) for previous 12 months.
Dearness Allowance with effect from 1st January every year | (Average of AICPI-IW for the months from January to December of previous year – 115.76)X100/115.76 |
Dearness Allowance with effect from 1st July every year | (Average of AICPI-IW for the months from July of previous year to June of this year – 115.76)X100/115.76 |
115.76 is a factor which converts 1982 series AICPI (IW) (Base 1982=100), which was applicable prior to 6CPC to 2001 series AICPIW (Base 2001=100). In turn, This is arrived at by dividing the 1982 series AICPI by a linking factor which is 4.63 (536/4.63=115.76) |
To estimate the Dearness Allowance that Central Government Employees and Pensioners will be getting with effect from 1st January 2013 based on AICPI-IW, we will consider following 4 Scenario
Scenario 1 (No Inflation) | Scenario 2 ( Inflation contained) | Scenario 3(Sameinflationarytrend) | Scenario 4 (More inflation) | |
Month | AICPI-IW | AICPI-IW | AICPI-IW | AICPI-IW |
Jan 2012 | 198 | 198 | 198 | 198 |
Feb 2012 | 199 | 199 | 199 | 199 |
Mar 2012 | 201 | 201 | 201 | 201 |
Apr 2012 | 205 | 205 | 205 | 205 |
May 2012 | 206 | 206 | 206 | 206 |
Jun 2012 | 208 | 208 | 208 | 208 |
Jul 2012 | 212 | 212 | 212 | 212 |
Aug 2012 | 214 | 214 | 214 | 214 |
Sep 2012 | 215 | 215 | 215 | 215 |
Oct 2012 (expected) | 215 | 210 | 216 | 217 |
Nov 2012 (expected) | 215 | 210 | 217 | 219 |
Dec 2012 (expected) | 215 | 210 | 218 | 221 |
Expected DA | 80% | 79% | 80% | 81% |